{"data":{"movers":[{"slug":"price-bitcoin-between-82-000-84-2026-09","question":"Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 23?","p_now":0.999,"p_prev":0.0005,"delta":0.9985,"volume_surge_ratio":1.09,"category":"crypto"},{"slug":"spain-win-2026-09-29-2026-09","question":"Will Spain win on 2026-09-29?","p_now":0.0005,"p_prev":0.8058,"delta":-0.8053,"volume_surge_ratio":6.75,"category":"sports"},{"slug":"ronaldo-caiado-finish-second-place-first-2026-10","question":"Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?","p_now":0.765,"p_prev":0.001,"delta":0.764,"volume_surge_ratio":1,"category":"politics"},{"slug":"when-mike-norvell-leave-florida-st-2026-12","question":"When will Mike Norvell leave Florida St.? — Before Dec 1, 2026","p_now":0.97,"p_prev":0.23,"delta":0.74,"volume_surge_ratio":5.49,"category":"sports"},{"slug":"trump-renames-ai-september-30-2026-10","question":"Trump renames AI by September 30?","p_now":0.9995,"p_prev":0.2602,"delta":0.7393,"volume_surge_ratio":3.55,"category":"other"},{"slug":"elon-musk-post-65-89-tweets-from-2026-09","question":"Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 17 to September 19, 2026?","p_now":0.2946,"p_prev":0.9995,"delta":-0.7049,"volume_surge_ratio":1.44,"category":"other"},{"slug":"fed-increase-interest-rates-25-bps-2026-12","question":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?","p_now":0.1716,"p_prev":0.775,"delta":-0.6034,"volume_surge_ratio":0.82,"category":"economics"},{"slug":"spain-win-2026-09-23-2026-09","question":"Will Spain win on 2026-09-23?","p_now":0.9995,"p_prev":0.4247,"delta":0.5748,"volume_surge_ratio":11.81,"category":"sports"},{"slug":"france-win-2026-09-25-2026-09","question":"Will France win on 2026-09-25?","p_now":0.9995,"p_prev":0.5095,"delta":0.49,"volume_surge_ratio":3.48,"category":"sports"},{"slug":"ethereum-dip-2-700-september-2026-10","question":"Will Ethereum dip to $2,700 in September?","p_now":0.125,"p_prev":0.5988,"delta":-0.4738,"volume_surge_ratio":1.18,"category":"crypto"},{"slug":"mary-peltola-win-alaska-senate-race-2026-11","question":"Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?","p_now":0.265,"p_prev":0.7161,"delta":-0.4511,"volume_surge_ratio":0.87,"category":"politics"},{"slug":"elon-musk-post-40-64-tweets-from-2026-09","question":"Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 21 to September 23, 2026?","p_now":0.6865,"p_prev":0.2484,"delta":0.4381,"volume_surge_ratio":1.22,"category":"other"},{"slug":"when-500-index-above-10-000-2027-06","question":"When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000? — Before Jun 30, 2027","p_now":0.51,"p_prev":0.105,"delta":0.405,"volume_surge_ratio":1,"category":"economics"},{"slug":"norway-win-2026-09-24-2026-09","question":"Will Norway win on 2026-09-24?","p_now":0.0005,"p_prev":0.4018,"delta":-0.4013,"volume_surge_ratio":1.71,"category":"sports"},{"slug":"when-500-index-above-10-000-2026-12","question":"When will the S&P 500 Index be above $10,000? — Before Dec 31, 2026","p_now":0.435,"p_prev":0.035,"delta":0.4,"volume_surge_ratio":1,"category":"economics"},{"slug":"japan-win-2026-09-28-2026-09","question":"Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?","p_now":0.9995,"p_prev":0.6056,"delta":0.3939,"volume_surge_ratio":6.53,"category":"sports"},{"slug":"magdalena-andersson-next-prime-minister-sweden-2027-07","question":"Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?","p_now":0.0005,"p_prev":0.3715,"delta":-0.371,"volume_surge_ratio":1.33,"category":"politics"},{"slug":"harry-styles-zoe-kravitz-marriage-date-2027-01","question":"Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date — Before Jan 1, 2027","p_now":0.62,"p_prev":0.29,"delta":0.33,"volume_surge_ratio":653.47,"category":"entertainment"},{"slug":"when-member-trump-cabinet-leave-nov-2026-11","question":"When will a member of Trump's Cabinet leave? — Before Nov 2026","p_now":0.7,"p_prev":0.37,"delta":0.33,"volume_surge_ratio":1.06,"category":"politics"},{"slug":"humans-colonize-mars-2050-2050-2050-01","question":"Will humans colonize Mars before 2050? — Before 2050","p_now":0.29,"p_prev":0.588,"delta":-0.298,"volume_surge_ratio":1.87,"category":"science-tech"}]},"meta":{"endpoint":"/v1/movers-delayed","version":"1.0.0","generated_at":"2026-09-30T12:40:33.204Z","freshness":"delayed_15m","sources":["kalshi","polymarket"],"request_id":"req_b15a6d14","docs":"https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers-delayed","data_mode":"live"}}