{"data":{"current_model_version":"runway-oracle-v4.2","classes":[{"market_class":"daily-high-tail","model_version":"runway-oracle-v4.1","current_version":false,"n_resolved":85,"allowlisted":false,"reason":"historical (runway-oracle-v4.1) — the allowlist is earned on runway-oracle-v4.2 evidence only","deciles":[{"bucket":"0.0–0.1","predicted":0.042,"realized":0.164,"n":67},{"bucket":"0.1–0.2","predicted":0.112,"realized":0,"n":3},{"bucket":"0.2–0.3","predicted":0.252,"realized":0,"n":5},{"bucket":"0.4–0.5","predicted":0.453,"realized":0,"n":5},{"bucket":"0.6–0.7","predicted":0.662,"realized":0,"n":1},{"bucket":"0.7–0.8","predicted":0.779,"realized":0,"n":2},{"bucket":"0.8–0.9","predicted":0.868,"realized":0,"n":2}]},{"market_class":"daily-low-tail","model_version":"runway-oracle-v4.1","current_version":false,"n_resolved":66,"allowlisted":false,"reason":"historical (runway-oracle-v4.1) — the allowlist is earned on runway-oracle-v4.2 evidence only","deciles":[{"bucket":"0.0–0.1","predicted":0.099,"realized":0,"n":6},{"bucket":"0.1–0.2","predicted":0.142,"realized":0,"n":40},{"bucket":"0.3–0.4","predicted":0.399,"realized":0,"n":2},{"bucket":"0.4–0.5","predicted":0.412,"realized":0.667,"n":18}]},{"market_class":"daily-high-range","model_version":"runway-oracle-v4.1","current_version":false,"n_resolved":61,"allowlisted":false,"reason":"historical (runway-oracle-v4.1) — the allowlist is earned on runway-oracle-v4.2 evidence only","deciles":[{"bucket":"0.0–0.1","predicted":0.027,"realized":0.226,"n":53},{"bucket":"0.2–0.3","predicted":0.28,"realized":0.875,"n":8}]},{"market_class":"daily-low-range","model_version":"runway-oracle-v4.1","current_version":false,"n_resolved":53,"allowlisted":false,"reason":"historical (runway-oracle-v4.1) — the allowlist is earned on runway-oracle-v4.2 evidence only","deciles":[{"bucket":"0.0–0.1","predicted":0.003,"realized":0.324,"n":34},{"bucket":"0.2–0.3","predicted":0.274,"realized":0,"n":6},{"bucket":"0.3–0.4","predicted":0.364,"realized":0,"n":2},{"bucket":"0.4–0.5","predicted":0.452,"realized":0,"n":11}]}],"thresholds":{"min_n":200,"decile_tolerance":0.1,"min_decile_n":10},"window_days":90,"computed_at":"2026-09-26T05:53:37.642Z","note":"Data-derived allowlist over resolved signal history, partitioned by model_version (taxonomy shipped 2026-09-08; v4.1 min-semantics cutover recorded in PROGRESS). Only current-version evidence can admit a class; earlier versions are shown as historical. Recomputed at least daily, never hand-edited. Signals for classes not on the allowlist are suppressed from paid edge payloads and counted in suppressed_by_class."},"meta":{"endpoint":"/v1/edge/calibration","version":"1.0.0","generated_at":"2026-09-26T21:53:24.176Z","freshness":"daily","sources":["kalshi","polymarket","weather-model"],"request_id":"req_539d1a59","docs":"https://x402-factory.com/docs/edge.calibration","data_mode":"live"}}