GET /v1/movers/economics

$0.02realtimetier: datacache 60sEngine A — Probability API

The fastest way to see where news is landing in economics: active markets ranked by absolute probability change over your chosen window, with volume surge ratios. Same shape as /v1/movers, pre-filtered to economics markets.

Parameters

Example

curl "https://x402-factory.com/v1/movers/economics?window=24h&limit=10"

Example response

{
  "data": {
    "movers": [
      {
        "slug": "nfp-beat-august-2026",
        "question": "Will the August 2026 jobs report beat consensus expectations?",
        "p_now": 0.4628,
        "p_prev": 0.4196,
        "delta": 0.0432,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1.02,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "ecb-rate-cut-2026-09",
        "question": "Will the ECB cut rates at its September meeting?",
        "p_now": 0.5547,
        "p_prev": 0.5856,
        "delta": -0.0309,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1.01,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "opec-production-cut-2026-08",
        "question": "Will OPEC+ announce a production cut at its August 2026 meeting?",
        "p_now": 0.2443,
        "p_prev": 0.264,
        "delta": -0.0197,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "gdp-q2-2026-positive",
        "question": "Will the Q2 2026 US GDP advance print show positive growth?",
        "p_now": 0.7075,
        "p_prev": 0.6916,
        "delta": 0.016,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1.01,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "nber-declares-recession-2026-12",
        "question": "Will the NBER declare a US recession by end of 2026?",
        "p_now": 0.1658,
        "p_prev": 0.1507,
        "delta": 0.0151,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.94,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "sp500-close-above-7000-2026-12",
        "question": "Will the S&P 500 close above 7000 on December 31?",
        "p_now": 0.3846,
        "p_prev": 0.3733,
        "delta": 0.0113,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.96,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "us-china-tariff-deal-2026-10",
        "question": "Will the US and China announce a tariff reduction deal by October 31?",
        "p_now": 0.2917,
        "p_prev": 0.2945,
        "delta": -0.0028,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.94,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "us-cpi-above-3pct-2026-08",
        "question": "Will July CPI year-over-year come in above 3.0%?",
        "p_now": 0.4419,
        "p_prev": 0.441,
        "delta": 0.0009,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 1.1,
        "category": "economics"
      },
      {
        "slug": "unemployment-above-4-5pct-2026-09",
        "question": "Will the US unemployment rate exceed 4.5% in the August report?",
        "p_now": 0.3121,
        "p_prev": 0.3126,
        "delta": -0.0005,
        "volume_surge_ratio": 0.96,
        "category": "economics"
      }
    ]
  },
  "meta": {
    "endpoint": "/v1/movers/economics",
    "version": "1.0.0",
    "generated_at": "2026-08-18T22:54:16.951Z",
    "freshness": "realtime",
    "sources": [
      "kalshi",
      "polymarket"
    ],
    "request_id": "req_00000000",
    "docs": "https://x402-factory.com/docs/probability.movers.economics",
    "data_mode": "live"
  }
}

Response schema (data payload)

{
  "type": "object",
  "properties": {
    "movers": {
      "type": "array",
      "items": {
        "type": "object",
        "properties": {
          "slug": {
            "type": "string"
          },
          "question": {
            "type": "string"
          },
          "p_now": {
            "type": "number",
            "minimum": 0,
            "maximum": 1
          },
          "p_prev": {
            "type": "number",
            "minimum": 0,
            "maximum": 1
          },
          "delta": {
            "type": "number"
          },
          "volume_surge_ratio": {
            "type": "number"
          },
          "category": {
            "type": "string"
          }
        },
        "required": [
          "slug",
          "question",
          "p_now",
          "p_prev",
          "delta",
          "volume_surge_ratio",
          "category"
        ],
        "additionalProperties": false
      }
    }
  },
  "required": [
    "movers"
  ],
  "additionalProperties": false
}

The platform wraps every payload in an envelope: { "data": …, "meta": { endpoint, version, generated_at, freshness, sources, request_id, docs, data_mode } }.

Payment (x402)

Unpaid requests receive 402 with payment requirements (accepts). Pay $0.02 in USDC on Base per call via an X-PAYMENT header — see docs.x402.org. With PAYMENT_MODE=disabled (local dev) the endpoint is open.

Errors